TAU:0365-2100
| Probability Theory - old version
|
|
This is an old (1999) version of the second-year course probability theory. It is more formal
in style than the recent version. It is full of proofs. If this is
what you like, take it.
TOPICS
- PROBABILITY SPACE.
Full text: Postscript.
- Axiomatic approach:
definition of a sigma-field and a probability measure.
- Analytic approach:
the interval (0,1) as a continuous probability space;
smooth functions as random variables;
cumulative distribution function and density.
- DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION AND QUANTILE FUNCTION.
Short summary: Postscript;
full text: Postscript.
- A monotone function on (0,1) as a random variable.
Cumulative distribution function and quantile function.
Atoms and gaps.
- Convergence in distribution.
Special distributions:
discrete (uniform, binomial, Poisson, geometric)
revisited,
and continuous (uniform, normal, exponential).
- TRANSFORMATIONS.
Full text: Postscript.
- One-dimensional transformations: linear and nonlinear; smooth
and non-smooth; monotone and non-monotone.
- MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION AND INTEGRAL.
Short summary: Postscript;
full text: Postscript.
- Beyond Riemann integrability.
- Discrete approximation of a continuous random variable.
- Expectation: definition and properties.
- Expectation and density.
- Expectation and quantile function.
- Expectation and cumulative distribution function.
- Unbounded case, truncation, integrability.
- Expectation of a function of a random variable.
- Variance, moments, moment generating function.
- Examples: special distributions.
- BOREL SETS, FUNCTIONS, AND MEASURES.
Short summary: Postscript;
full text: Postscript.
- Intervals and elementary sets.
- More complicated sets.
- Borel sets.
- Borel functions.
- Borel measures, Lebesgue measure.
- Lebesgue integral.
- DISTRIBUTIONS.
Short summary: Postscript;
full text: Postscript.
- One- and two-dimensional distributions in general;
support, atoms, discrete part and continuous part.
- One- and two-dimensional density;
absolutely continuous part and singular part.
- Marginal distribution.
- Independence.
- Regression and correlation.
- Transformations.
- Distribution of sum, product, quotient.
- CONDITIONING.
Short summary: Postscript;
full text: Postscript.
- Conditional distribution.
- Total probability formulas and Bayes formulas for various
cases (discrete, absolutely continuous, singular).
- SPECIAL DISTRIBUTIONS.
Full text: Postscript.
- One-dimensional: Gamma, Chi-square, Student, Fisher. Their
connections to exponential, normal, Poisson distributions.
- Two-dimensional: normal correlation.
- CONVERGENCE.
- Convergence of a sequence of random variables.
- Convergence of expectations. Monotone convergence
theorem. Dominated convergence theorem.
- LIMIT THEOREMS.
- Borel-Cantelli lemma(s).
- Strong law of large numbers.
- Central limit theorem.